The Irrelevant Information Principle for Collective Probabilistic Reasoning

Adamcik, Martin and Wilmers, George (2013) The Irrelevant Information Principle for Collective Probabilistic Reasoning. Kybernetika. (In Press)

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Abstract

Within the framework of discrete probabilistic uncertain reasoning a large literature exists justifying the maximum entropy inference process, ME, as being optimal in the context of a single agent whose subjective probabilistic knowledge base is consistent. In particular Paris and Vencovska completely characterised the ME inference process by means of an attractive set of axioms which an inference process should satisfy. More recently the second author extended the Paris-Vencovska axiomatic approach to inference processes in the context of several agents whose subjective probabilistic knowledge bases, while individually consistent, may be collectively inconsistent. In particular he defined a natural multi--agent extension of the inference process ME called the social entropy process, SEP. However, while SEP has been shown to possess many attractive properties, those which are known are almost certainly insufficient to uniquely characterise it. It is therefore of particular interest to study those Paris-Vencovska principles valid for ME whose immediate generalisations to the multi-agent case are not satisfied by SEP. One of these principles is the Irrelevant Information Principle, a powerful and appealing principle which very few inference processes satisfy even in the single agent context. In this paper we will investigate whether SEP can satisfy an interesting modified generalisation of this principle.

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	uncertain reasoning, discrete probability function, social inference process, maximum entropy, Kullback-Leibler, irrelevant information principle
Subjects:	MSC 2010, the AMS's Mathematics Subject Classification > 03 Mathematical logic and foundations MSC 2010, the AMS's Mathematics Subject Classification > 68 Computer science
Depositing User:	Mr Martin Adamcik
Date Deposited:	23 Jul 2013
Last Modified:	20 Oct 2017 14:13
URI:	https://eprints.maths.manchester.ac.uk/id/eprint/2006

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